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Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation

26 cards · Stock Market & Investing · answer each one, then read the explanation. Your score tallies below. Looking for Two-asset portfolio variance & minimum-variance weights, worked example? Read the explainer.

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Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 001/026 easy

An investor holds a portfolio of 30 stocks, all in the oil and gas sector. They believe this is well diversified because it contains many individual positions. What is the main flaw in this reasoning?

  1. Holding 30 stocks is too many — optimal diversification is achieved with exactly 10 to 15 stocks regardless of sector
  2. The portfolio is actually well diversified because academic research shows that any 30 randomly selected stocks eliminate virtually all risk, sector concentration included
  3. Diversification requires exposure across sectors and asset classes, not just a large number of holdings — stocks in the same sector tend to be driven by the same risk factors (oil prices, regulation, geopolitical supply shocks), so a 30-stock single-sector portfolio still carries concentrated sector risk
  4. Diversification only matters for bond portfolios; equity portfolios benefit from concentration because it allows the investor to develop deep sector expertise
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 002/026 medium

According to Modern Portfolio Theory, what does the 'efficient frontier' represent?

  1. The line connecting the risk-free rate to the highest-returning asset in the investable universe, representing the only rational investment strategy
  2. The set of portfolios that offer the highest expected return for each level of risk (standard deviation), meaning no portfolio on the frontier can increase its expected return without also increasing its risk
  3. A single optimal portfolio that every investor should hold, regardless of their individual risk preferences or investment horizon
  4. The boundary below which all portfolios are considered too risky for any rational investor, regardless of their risk tolerance
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 003/026 hard

Two assets have expected returns of 8% and 12% respectively. If their returns are perfectly negatively correlated (correlation coefficient of −1), what is theoretically possible when combining them in a portfolio?

  1. Negative correlation has no effect on portfolio risk; only the individual standard deviations of each asset determine the portfolio's total risk regardless of how the assets co-move
  2. The portfolio's expected return can exceed 12%, because negative correlation creates a synergy bonus that amplifies returns beyond either individual asset
  3. A correlation of −1 means one asset always gains exactly what the other loses, so combining them always produces a return of zero — the assets cancel each other out entirely
  4. The portfolio's risk (standard deviation) can be reduced to zero at a specific weighting, while the expected return falls between 8% and 12% depending on the allocation chosen
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 004/026 easy

An investment analyst explains that a stock's total risk can be split into two components: risk from broad market-wide factors affecting nearly all securities, and risk specific to the individual company or its industry. Which statement correctly distinguishes these two components and how diversification affects each?

  1. Both components can be eliminated entirely by holding enough different asset classes, since diversification removes all forms of risk given a large enough portfolio
  2. The company-specific component (unsystematic risk) cannot be reduced by diversification, while the market-wide component (systematic risk) can be fully eliminated by holding 20-30 stocks
  3. The company-specific component (unsystematic risk) can be reduced or eliminated by holding a diversified portfolio, while the market-wide component (systematic risk) reflects factors like interest rates, inflation, and economic cycles that affect all securities and cannot be diversified away
  4. Systematic risk only applies to bonds and other fixed-income securities, while unsystematic risk only applies to equities, so investors holding both asset classes automatically eliminate all risk
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 005/026 easy

Two assets, X and Y, have a correlation coefficient of exactly +1 (perfect positive correlation). If an investor combines them in a portfolio, what is true about the diversification benefit?

  1. There is no diversification benefit: the portfolio's standard deviation is simply the weighted average of the two assets' individual standard deviations, because the assets always move in the same direction by the same proportional amount
  2. The diversification benefit is maximized, since perfectly positively correlated assets naturally offset each other's price movements over time
  3. The portfolio's risk drops to zero regardless of the weights chosen, just as it would with a correlation of -1
  4. Perfect positive correlation means the two assets have identical expected returns, so combining them changes nothing about the portfolio's return or risk
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 006/026 easy

An investment policy sets a long-term target of 60% equities and 40% bonds meant to stay in place for years, based on the investor's goals and risk tolerance. A portfolio manager also makes short-term adjustments around this target — for example, temporarily overweighting equities by 5% because they believe stocks are attractively priced this quarter. What are these two practices called, respectively?

  1. Both practices are called strategic asset allocation; there is no separate term for short-term adjustments around a long-term target
  2. The long-term target is called tactical asset allocation, and the short-term adjustment is called strategic asset allocation
  3. The long-term target is called the efficient frontier, and the short-term adjustment is called the capital allocation line
  4. The long-term target is called strategic asset allocation, and the short-term, opportunistic deviation from it is called tactical asset allocation
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 007/026 easy

A financial education course explains that portfolios commonly shift their target mix toward a higher proportion of bonds and cash and a lower proportion of equities as an investor's investment time horizon shortens. What is the primary risk-based rationale most commonly given for this pattern?

  1. Bonds always produce higher total returns than equities over any time horizon, so shifting toward bonds improves expected returns regardless of the investor's time horizon
  2. A shorter time horizon leaves less time to recover from a market downturn before the funds are needed, so reducing exposure to equities' higher volatility lowers the risk of having to sell at a loss
  3. Equities become illegal to hold in tax-advantaged retirement accounts once an investor is within ten years of retirement, under securities regulations
  4. Bond prices become less volatile than equity prices only after an investor turns 50, which is an age-based rule set by financial regulators
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 008/026 easy

An investor combines a single risky portfolio with a position in a risk-free asset (such as short-term government bills), varying the proportion invested in each. What does the resulting straight line of possible risk-return combinations represent?

  1. The Capital Allocation Line (CAL): a straight line running from the risk-free rate through the chosen risky portfolio's risk-return point, showing all combinations available by mixing that portfolio with the risk-free asset
  2. The efficient frontier, which by definition always includes the risk-free asset as one of its constituent holdings
  3. The security market line, which plots expected return against a security's beta rather than against portfolio standard deviation
  4. A single fixed portfolio recommended for all investors regardless of their allocation between the risky and risk-free assets
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 009/026 medium

An investor sets a target allocation of 60% stocks and 40% bonds for a $100,000 portfolio. After a strong year for stocks, the portfolio grows to $130,000, with stocks now worth $85,000 (about 65.4%) and bonds worth $45,000 (about 34.6%). To rebalance back to the 60/40 target, what should the investor do?

  1. Sell all bonds and hold the entire $130,000 in stocks, since stocks have been outperforming and momentum suggests this trend will continue
  2. Buy more stocks and sell bonds, since the target percentages should be adjusted upward to match whichever asset class most recently outperformed
  3. Sell approximately $7,000 of stocks and buy approximately $7,000 of bonds, bringing the portfolio to $78,000 in stocks (60%) and $52,000 in bonds (40%) of the $130,000 total
  4. Do nothing, because the current 65.4%/34.6% split is close enough to the 60/40 target that rebalancing would only incur unnecessary transaction costs
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 010/026 medium

Research by Brinson, Hood, and Beebower (and later studies) analyzing the returns of diversified institutional portfolios found that most of the variation in returns between different portfolios over time was explained by which factor, rather than by security selection or market-timing decisions?

  1. The specific individual stocks chosen within each asset class, since stock-picking skill is the dominant driver of portfolio return differences
  2. The timing of purchases and sales within each asset class, since successfully buying low and selling high explains most of the variation between portfolios
  3. The choice of brokerage firm and the fee structure negotiated with that firm, since costs are the single largest determinant of long-term portfolio variation
  4. The portfolio's asset allocation — the broad mix between asset classes such as equities, bonds, and cash — since this policy-level decision explained the large majority of the variance in returns across the portfolios studied
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 011/026 medium

An investor holding a portfolio of only domestic stocks and bonds is considering adding an allocation to real estate investment trusts (REITs) and commodities, asset classes that have historically shown relatively low or inconsistent correlation with stocks and bonds. What is the main portfolio-construction rationale for adding them?

  1. REITs and commodities guarantee higher returns than stocks and bonds over any holding period, so adding them raises expected portfolio return with no added risk
  2. Because their returns do not move in lockstep with stocks and bonds, adding a moderate allocation can reduce overall portfolio volatility for a given level of expected return, even though each asset class carries meaningful risk on its own
  3. Commodities and REITs are risk-free asset classes, so replacing bonds with them removes credit risk from the portfolio entirely
  4. Adding any additional asset class always improves a portfolio's Sharpe ratio, regardless of that asset class's correlation with existing holdings
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 012/026 hard

Building on the distinction between the efficient frontier and other portfolio-theory lines: when a risk-free asset is introduced and combined with the single risky portfolio that maximizes the reward-to-risk ratio (the tangency portfolio), the resulting line dominates every portfolio on the efficient frontier at every risk level except one point. What is this line called, and at which point does it touch the efficient frontier?

  1. The security market line, which touches the efficient frontier at the portfolio with a beta of exactly 1.0
  2. The Capital Allocation Line, which touches the efficient frontier at the lowest-risk portfolio on the frontier
  3. The Capital Market Line, which touches the efficient frontier at exactly one point: the tangency (market) portfolio, the single risky portfolio combined with the risk-free asset that offers the best available reward-to-risk trade-off
  4. The yield curve, which touches the efficient frontier only when short-term and long-term interest rates are equal
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 013/026 hard

According to the two-fund (mutual fund) separation theorem in portfolio theory, once a risk-free asset is available, every rational investor's optimal risky-asset holdings converge on the same single portfolio (the tangency portfolio), regardless of individual risk tolerance. Given this, what actually differs between a conservative investor and an aggressive investor under the theorem?

  1. Only the proportion of total wealth each investor allocates between that single tangency portfolio and the risk-free asset — the conservative investor holds a larger share in the risk-free asset, while the aggressive investor holds a larger share in the tangency portfolio, or even borrows to hold more than 100% of it
  2. The specific individual securities each investor selects within the risky portfolio, since risk tolerance determines which stocks and bonds are included
  3. Nothing differs in practice; the theorem implies all investors should hold identical portfolios with no allocation differences whatsoever
  4. The conservative investor holds a completely different risky portfolio with lower-beta stocks, while the aggressive investor holds a separate risky portfolio with higher-beta stocks
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 014/026 easy

On the Markowitz minimum-variance frontier, one specific portfolio sits at the frontier's leftmost point: the single combination of the available risky assets that achieves the lowest possible standard deviation of any attainable portfolio, even though it is not necessarily the portfolio with the highest return for its risk level. This same portfolio also marks the starting point of the efficient frontier. What is this portfolio called?

  1. The capital market portfolio
  2. The minimum-variance portfolio
  3. The tangency portfolio
  4. The equally weighted (1/N) portfolio
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 015/026 medium

Under the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), two investors hold portfolios with identical systematic risk (the same beta). One investor's portfolio is a handful of stocks concentrated in a single industry, carrying substantial unsystematic risk on top of that beta; the other investor's portfolio is broadly diversified, carrying almost no unsystematic risk. Does CAPM predict that the market compensates the concentrated investor with a higher expected return than the diversified investor, since the concentrated investor is bearing more total risk?

  1. Yes, because CAPM prices total risk, measured by standard deviation, not just the systematic portion
  2. Yes, but only for small-capitalization stocks, which earn an extra premium specifically to compensate holders for their higher unsystematic risk
  3. No, but only because exchange rules cap the return any single concentrated position may legally earn
  4. No, because unsystematic risk can be eliminated at no cost simply by holding a diversified portfolio, so the market does not pay a premium for a risk an investor could have avoided
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 016/026 medium

A portfolio manager maintains a target asset allocation and must decide WHEN to rebalance back to target, as distinct from how much to trade once a rebalance is triggered. Under one approach, a trade is triggered only when an asset class's actual weight drifts beyond a predefined band around its target (for example, more than 5 percentage points away), regardless of how much time has passed since the last rebalance. What is this approach called, and how does it typically compare with simply rebalancing on a fixed calendar schedule (e.g., once a year) regardless of how far the portfolio has drifted?

  1. Threshold (tolerance-band) rebalancing; compared with a fixed calendar schedule, it generally keeps allocations closer to target with fewer, better-timed trades, since it reacts to actual drift rather than the passage of time
  2. Threshold rebalancing; compared with a fixed calendar schedule, it typically drifts further from target, since it triggers a trade only a small number of times per decade on average
  3. Calendar rebalancing; in practice it produces results identical to a tolerance-band approach, since normal market volatility guarantees a band breach within any given year regardless of the band's width
  4. Strategic asset allocation; unlike a tolerance-band approach, it periodically replaces the portfolio's target weights themselves rather than trading the existing portfolio back toward an already-set target
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 017/026 easy

An investor builds a portfolio with two distinct pieces: roughly 70% in a widely diversified, low-cost index fund held long-term as a stable foundation, and the remaining 30% split across a handful of actively managed or thematic positions the investor adjusts more frequently to pursue specific opportunities or views. What is this portfolio construction approach called?

  1. Dollar-cost averaging
  2. The barbell strategy
  3. Tactical asset allocation
  4. Core-satellite investing
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 018/026 hard

A portfolio strategy allocates capital across stocks, bonds, and commodities so that each asset class contributes an equal share of the portfolio's total volatility, rather than allocating an equal dollar amount or an equal percentage of capital to each. Because bonds are typically far less volatile than stocks, this approach ends up putting a much larger dollar amount into bonds than a simple equal split would, often applying leverage to the lower-volatility sleeve so its expected-return contribution becomes comparable to the rest of the portfolio. What is this strategy called?

  1. Equal-weighted (1/N) allocation
  2. Risk parity
  3. The 60/40 portfolio
  4. Strategic asset allocation
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 019/026 easy

An investor holds a portfolio of 5 randomly selected stocks across different industries and is deciding whether to add more holdings to reduce risk further. Based on research on the relationship between portfolio size and risk reduction, what should the investor expect as more randomly selected stocks are added, say up to 20-30 holdings and then well beyond that?

  1. Unsystematic (company-specific) risk falls quickly at first, but most of the achievable reduction occurs within roughly the first 20 to 30 holdings; adding far more holdings beyond that yields only marginal further reduction, since market-wide systematic risk remains no matter how many stocks are added
  2. Unsystematic risk keeps falling at a constant rate per additional stock no matter how many are already held, so a 100-stock portfolio diversifies company-specific risk twice as effectively as a 50-stock portfolio
  3. Adding more stocks eventually eliminates both unsystematic and systematic risk entirely once the portfolio holds enough names, since diversification removes all forms of risk given a large enough number of holdings
  4. Adding more stocks increases risk rather than reducing it, because each additional holding introduces its own company-specific risk on top of the risk already present in the portfolio
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 020/026 medium

An individual investor splits a lump sum equally across 10 different stocks (10% each), rather than using a mean-variance optimization model that would compute 'optimal' weights from each stock's estimated expected return, variance, and covariance with the others. Academic research comparing this simple equal-weighting approach (often called the '1/N rule') against optimized mean-variance portfolios, tested on actual future returns, has found which of the following?

  1. The 1/N rule always underperforms mean-variance optimization out of sample, because equal weighting ignores all information about each stock's expected return and risk
  2. Mean-variance optimization always outperforms the 1/N rule out of sample, confirming that using more statistical information about expected returns and covariances produces better real-world portfolios
  3. The 1/N rule has performed comparably to, or better than, many mean-variance-optimized strategies out of sample in several studies, largely because estimation error in the inputs (expected returns and covariances) often outweighs the theoretical benefit of optimizing with them
  4. Mean-variance optimization and the 1/N rule produce mathematically identical portfolio weights whenever more than ten assets are included, so the comparison is moot for larger portfolios
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 021/026 easy

A financial advisor prepares a formal written document for a new client before building any portfolio. This document states the client's return objectives and risk tolerance, the client's time horizon, and constraints such as liquidity needs, tax situation, and legal or regulatory restrictions, but does not yet specify which individual stocks or bonds to buy. What is this foundational document called, and what role does it play in the portfolio management process?

  1. A prospectus, which is the document a mutual fund issues to all prospective investors describing the fund's investment objective, fees, and historical performance
  2. An Investment Policy Statement (IPS), which documents the client's objectives and constraints and, combined with capital market expectations, forms the basis for setting the strategic asset allocation that follows
  3. A trade confirmation, which is the receipt generated after each individual buy or sell order is executed in the client's account, confirming price and quantity
  4. A proxy statement, which is the disclosure document a public company sends to its shareholders ahead of a shareholder vote, describing the matters to be voted on
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 022/026 easy

A portfolio is made up of two assets: 70% invested in Stock A, which has an expected return of 12%, and 30% invested in Bond B, which has an expected return of 4%. Ignoring any correlation between the two assets, which affects portfolio risk rather than expected return, what is the portfolio's expected return?

  1. 4.0%, the expected return of the lower-weighted asset alone, since diversification pulls the combined return toward the safer asset
  2. 8.0%, the simple (unweighted) average of the two assets' expected returns, treating each asset as if it made up half the portfolio
  3. 12.0%, the expected return of the higher-weighted asset alone, since it makes up the majority of the portfolio
  4. 9.6%, the weighted average of the two expected returns using each asset's actual portfolio weight: (0.70 x 12%) + (0.30 x 4%)
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 023/026 medium

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) explains an asset's expected return using a single factor: its beta (sensitivity to the overall market). The Fama-French three-factor model, developed by Eugene Fama and Kenneth French, extends CAPM by adding two further factors that help explain differences in stock returns not captured by market beta alone. What are these two additional factors?

  1. A size factor (the historical return spread between small-capitalization and large-capitalization stocks) and a value factor (the historical return spread between stocks with high and low book-to-market ratios)
  2. A momentum factor (the historical return spread between recent winning and losing stocks) and a quality factor (the historical return spread between highly profitable and weakly profitable companies)
  3. An inflation factor (the sensitivity of returns to unexpected changes in inflation) and an interest-rate factor (the sensitivity of returns to changes in the risk-free rate)
  4. A liquidity factor (the historical return spread between highly liquid and illiquid stocks) and a currency factor (the historical return spread attributable to exchange-rate movements)
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 024/026 medium

A defined-benefit pension fund has a stream of future benefit payments it must make to retirees over the coming decades. To protect the plan's funded status from interest rate changes, the fund's manager builds a bond portfolio whose interest-rate sensitivity is matched to the pension's future obligations, rather than simply maximizing the bond portfolio's yield. What is this asset-liability matching approach called, and what specific bond-portfolio characteristic is matched to the liabilities?

  1. Tactical asset allocation, where the manager shifts the bond-to-equity mix within the pension portfolio based on short-term views about which asset class looks more attractively priced
  2. Securities lending, where the manager lends out a portion of the pension's bond holdings to other market participants in exchange for a fee, generating extra income for the plan
  3. Liability-driven investing (LDI), using duration matching, where the bond portfolio's duration is set equal to the duration of the pension's future liabilities so that a given change in interest rates affects the value of the assets and the liabilities by a similar amount, helping stabilize the plan's funded status
  4. Dollar-cost averaging, where the manager invests a fixed amount into the bond portfolio at regular intervals over time, regardless of current bond prices or interest rate levels
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 025/026 hard

Two lines from modern portfolio theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model are often confused with each other: the Capital Market Line (CML) and the Security Market Line (SML). Which statement correctly distinguishes what each line plots on its horizontal axis and which assets can lie on it?

  1. The CML plots expected return against beta and includes only efficient portfolios combining the risk-free asset with the tangency portfolio, while the SML plots expected return against standard deviation and includes every individual security or portfolio, efficient or not
  2. The CML and SML are two names for the same line; the choice of name depends only on whether the investor is analyzing individual stocks or entire portfolios
  3. The CML plots expected return against total risk (standard deviation) and includes every individual security or portfolio, efficient or not, while the SML plots expected return against systematic risk (beta) and includes only efficient portfolios combining the risk-free asset with the tangency portfolio
  4. The CML plots expected return against total risk (standard deviation) and includes only efficient portfolios combining the risk-free asset with the tangency portfolio, while the SML plots expected return against systematic risk (beta) and includes every individual security or portfolio, efficient or not
Stock Market & Investing · Portfolio Theory & Asset Allocation · Card 026/026 hard

A portfolio manager is dissatisfied with naive mean-variance optimization because small changes in the historical expected-return estimates she feeds into the optimizer produce wildly different, often extreme and concentrated portfolio weights. The Black-Litterman model addresses this problem by blending a particular starting point for expected returns with the manager's own specific views. What does the Black-Litterman model use as that starting point, and how does it combine it with the manager's views?

  1. It starts from each asset's own long-run historical average return taken in isolation, then simply overrides the historical figure with the manager's view for any asset where the manager holds a strong opinion
  2. It starts from the expected returns implied by reverse-solving the market's current capitalization-weighted portfolio through the standard mean-variance equations, the 'equilibrium' returns, then statistically blends those equilibrium returns with the manager's own views, weighted by how confident the manager is in each view
  3. It starts from zero expected return for every asset, treating all securities as equally attractive by default, and then sets each asset's final expected return equal entirely to the manager's own view, with no blending at all
  4. It starts from the risk-free rate as the expected return for every asset, then adds a single, identical risk premium to every asset regardless of the manager's views, ignoring any asset-specific opinions altogether